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This comprehensive report offers a deep dive into Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY), assessing its competitive moat, financial health, past performance, and fair value. We benchmark BY against key competitors and analyze its strategy through the lens of legendary investors to provide a clear view of its potential. This analysis, last updated January 9, 2026, offers a complete picture for investors.

Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY)

The outlook for Byline Bancorp is mixed. The bank operates a highly profitable niche business in commercial and SBA lending. Excellent efficiency and strong credit quality are significant operational strengths. However, its growth is highly sensitive to the health of the small business economy. A primary concern for investors is persistent shareholder dilution, which has hurt returns. The stock also carries potential liquidity risk due to a high loan-to-deposit ratio. Currently, the company appears fairly valued with limited near-term upside.

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Summary Analysis

Business & Moat Analysis

4/5

Byline Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates primarily through its subsidiary, Byline Bank. Its business model is a hybrid, combining traditional community banking focused on the Chicago metropolitan area with specialized national lending platforms. The company's core operations revolve around providing commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), commercial real estate investors, and financial sponsors. Its three main revenue-generating segments are Commercial Banking, Small Business Administration (SBA) Lending, and Equipment Finance Leasing. The Commercial Banking segment provides the foundational net interest income through loans and gathers deposits, while the national SBA and equipment finance businesses offer higher-yielding assets and a significant source of non-interest (fee) income, creating a diversified revenue stream.

The largest segment is its traditional Commercial Banking operation, primarily generating net interest income from Commercial and Industrial (C&I) and Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans. This segment is the bedrock of the bank, contributing the majority of its interest-earning assets and core deposits. The market for commercial banking in the Chicago metropolitan area is vast but intensely competitive, with an estimated market size in the tens of billions of dollars. The segment faces competition from money-center banks like JPMorgan Chase, super-regionals such as BMO and PNC, and strong local competitors like Wintrust Financial. Byline's customers are typically SMBs and real estate developers who are often too small for large national banks but require more sophisticated services than what a small community bank can offer. Customer stickiness comes from deep personal relationships and customized credit solutions. The competitive moat here is not based on scale or cost, but on localized knowledge and high-touch service, allowing Byline to build durable relationships that are difficult for larger, more standardized competitors to replicate. However, this moat is limited to its geographical footprint and is vulnerable to economic downturns in the Chicago area.

Byline's most distinct niche is its SBA lending platform, which is consistently ranked as one of the top SBA 7(a) lenders in the United States by volume. This segment generates revenue through both interest income on loans held on the balance sheet and, more significantly, through non-interest income from selling the government-guaranteed portion of these loans into the secondary market (gain-on-sale revenue). The national market for SBA 7(a) loans is substantial, with the SBA guaranteeing over $27 billion in loans in fiscal year 2023. The market is competitive, featuring specialized banks like Live Oak Bancshares and large regional banks like Huntington. Byline’s customers are small businesses across the country seeking financing for acquisitions, expansion, or working capital. The stickiness is moderate; once a loan is originated, the relationship is established, but the origination process is competitive. Byline’s moat in this segment is its deep expertise and highly efficient, technology-enabled national origination and servicing platform. This specialized know-how creates a significant barrier to entry, as navigating SBA regulations and processes is complex. This allows Byline to operate with national scale in a profitable niche, a rare strength for a bank of its size.

Another key specialty is the Equipment Finance Leasing business, operated through Byline Financial Group. This unit provides financing for capital equipment to businesses nationwide and contributes a growing portion of the bank's high-yielding assets. The U.S. equipment finance market is massive, valued at over $1 trillion. Byline competes with the financing arms of large banks (e.g., U.S. Bank), independent specialized finance companies, and captive finance arms of equipment manufacturers. Customers are businesses in various sectors, from transportation to healthcare, that need to acquire essential equipment. Stickiness is primarily transaction-based, but strong relationships with equipment vendors and dealers can create a recurring flow of business. The moat in this division is built on specialized underwriting expertise for specific equipment collateral and industries, as well as established relationships with vendors and dealers that act as a low-cost origination channel. This focus allows Byline to correctly price risk and generate attractive, risk-adjusted returns that are often higher than traditional commercial loans. This segment diversifies the loan book and adds another source of high-yield earnings.

In conclusion, Byline's business model is strategically constructed to leverage its specialized expertise. The traditional Chicago-based commercial bank provides a stable funding base and core earnings stream, while the national SBA and equipment finance platforms act as high-growth, high-return engines. This structure allows the bank to punch above its weight, particularly in the SBA market. The durability of its competitive edge rests on its human capital—the specialized knowledge of its lenders and underwriters in complex, regulated, and niche markets. This expertise is difficult and time-consuming for competitors to replicate, forming a credible, albeit narrow, moat.

The primary vulnerability of this model is its significant exposure to the health of small and medium-sized businesses, which are inherently more cyclical than larger corporations. An economic downturn could simultaneously pressure credit quality in all three of its key segments. Furthermore, a substantial portion of its non-interest income relies on gain-on-sale from SBA loans, which can be volatile and dependent on capital markets conditions. Despite these risks, Byline's business model appears resilient due to its diversification between interest and fee income and its proven ability to operate successfully in nationally competitive niches. The bank's moat is not impenetrable, but its specialization provides a defensible and profitable position within the banking industry.

Financial Statement Analysis

5/5

Byline Bancorp's current financial statements present a picture of a profitable and growing institution. A quick health check reveals the company is solidly in the black, with a trailing twelve-month net income of $125.85 million and a robust $37.2 million in its most recent quarter. More importantly, these profits are translating into real cash. The latest quarter saw operating cash flow (CFO) of $38.35 million, slightly exceeding net income and marking a significant recovery from a weaker $16.27 million in the prior quarter. This suggests the bank's earnings are of high quality. The balance sheet appears safe, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, which is standard for a financial institution. However, some near-term stress points are visible. Cash flow has shown volatility between quarters, and the bank operates with a high loan-to-deposit ratio, indicating most of its available funds are deployed as loans, which could tighten liquidity if deposit outflows accelerate.

The bank's income statement showcases strength and positive momentum. Revenue has been on an upward trajectory, increasing from $98.53 million in the second quarter to $110.44 million in the most recent third quarter. This growth is primarily driven by Net Interest Income (NII), the core profit engine for a bank, which rose from $95.97 million to $99.87 million over the same period. This indicates Byline is successfully managing the spread between what it earns on its loans and what it pays on its deposits. Consequently, net income saw a significant jump of 22.66% between the second and third quarters. For investors, this demonstrates strong operational execution. The bank's ability to expand its net interest income in the current economic environment suggests effective asset-liability management and pricing power within its specialized lending markets, allowing it to control costs while growing its core revenue stream.

A crucial test of earnings quality is whether accounting profits convert into actual cash, an area where Byline currently performs well. In the third quarter, the bank generated $38.35 million in cash from operations (CFO), which comfortably surpassed its net income of $37.2 million. This strong cash conversion is a positive sign that earnings are not just on paper. This contrasts with the prior quarter, where CFO was only $16.27 million against a net income of $30.08 million, highlighting some quarter-to-quarter volatility. Free cash flow (FCF), which is the cash left after all expenses and investments, remained positive in both periods, hitting $37.97 million in the latest quarter. The strong cash generation confirms that the bank’s core operations are self-funding and that its reported profits are backed by tangible cash inflows, a reassuring sign for investors concerned about the sustainability of its performance.

From a resilience perspective, Byline's balance sheet appears safe, though it carries some risks that require monitoring. The bank's liquidity position is supported by $259.02 million in cash and equivalents and over $1.5 billion in investment securities. However, a key metric for banks, the loan-to-deposit ratio, stands at approximately 96.2% (calculated from $7,531 million in gross loans and $7,828 million in total deposits). A ratio this high, while profitable, indicates that the bank has less of a liquid buffer to handle unexpected deposit withdrawals. On the leverage front, the situation is more comfortable. The bank's debt-to-equity ratio was a stable 0.49 in the most recent quarter, indicating that it is not overly reliant on debt to fund its assets relative to its equity base. Overall, the balance sheet can be classified as safe but is on a watchlist due to its high reliance on loans to generate returns, which inherently reduces its flexibility compared to peers with lower loan-to-deposit ratios.

The company's cash flow engine is primarily driven by its core banking activities: taking in deposits and issuing loans. The trend in cash from operations (CFO) has been uneven but is currently positive, rebounding strongly in the latest quarter to $38.35 million from $16.27 million in the prior one. Capital expenditures are minimal at just -$0.38 million, which is expected for a financial institution whose primary 'investment' is in growing its loan portfolio. The free cash flow generated is being strategically deployed. In the last quarter, Byline used its $37.97 million in free cash flow to pay $4.51 million in dividends and repurchase a small amount of stock (-$0.19 million), with the remainder strengthening its cash position. This shows that cash generation is currently dependable enough to fund both shareholder returns and organic growth without straining the company's finances, though the previously mentioned quarterly volatility suggests this is not always guaranteed.

Byline Bancorp is committed to returning capital to its shareholders, primarily through a consistent dividend. The company pays a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, which has seen recent growth of 11.11%. This payout is highly sustainable, as the dividend payout ratio is a very low 14.28% of earnings. Furthermore, the $4.51 million paid in dividends last quarter was easily covered by the $37.97 million in free cash flow, indicating the payment is not a financial strain. A point of concern for investors, however, is the change in share count. The number of shares outstanding has increased over the last two quarters (by 3.2% and 3.98%), which dilutes the ownership stake of existing shareholders. While some of this is common due to employee compensation, consistent dilution can weigh on per-share value growth. The company's capital allocation strategy appears balanced, focusing on growing its loan book while rewarding shareholders, but the ongoing share dilution is a clear trade-off investors should be aware of.

In summary, Byline's financial statements reveal several key strengths alongside some notable risks. The primary strengths include: 1) Strong and growing profitability, with net income increasing 22.66% in the last quarter. 2) Excellent earnings quality, demonstrated by operating cash flow of $38.35 million exceeding net income of $37.2 million. 3) A sustainable and growing dividend supported by a very low payout ratio of 14.28%. On the other hand, investors should watch the following red flags: 1) A high loan-to-deposit ratio of 96.2%, which could pose a liquidity risk. 2) Volatility in quarterly operating cash flow, which has fluctuated significantly. 3) Persistent shareholder dilution, with the share count steadily rising. Overall, Byline's financial foundation looks stable, anchored by its robust profitability and conservative dividend policy. The risks are manageable but require careful monitoring, particularly regarding the bank's liquidity management.

Past Performance

4/5

Over the last five years, Byline Bancorp's performance has been characterized by aggressive expansion. Comparing the five-year trend (FY2020-2024) to the more recent three-year trend (FY2022-2024) reveals a maturing growth story. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue was approximately 15.2%, while the three-year CAGR moderated slightly to 12.8%. More notably, the five-year EPS CAGR was a very strong 30.4%, heavily influenced by the recovery from a weak 2020. However, the three-year EPS CAGR was much lower at 8.2%, reflecting slower earnings momentum and the impact of share dilution.

This trend suggests that while the bank continues to grow, the pace of its bottom-line expansion on a per-share basis has slowed. The bank successfully navigated the challenges of 2020, where it posted high credit provisions, and has since stabilized its earnings power. The key theme is a transition from a rapid recovery-fueled growth phase to a more moderate, but still positive, growth trajectory.

An examination of the income statement confirms a history of robust growth. Total revenue expanded from $215.6M in 2020 to $379.9M in 2024. This was driven primarily by net interest income, which grew from $215M to $348M over the same period, indicating successful loan portfolio expansion. Net income shows a more dramatic, albeit volatile, improvement, jumping from $37.5M in 2020 to $120.8M in 2024. This tripling of net income was aided by a significant reduction in the provision for loan losses after 2020, which stood at $56.7M that year before normalizing to levels between $23M and $32M in subsequent years. Earnings per share (EPS) followed this trend, rising from $0.96 to $2.78, though the growth has been uneven year-to-year.

Byline's balance sheet has expanded significantly, reflecting its growth strategy. Total assets increased from $6.4B in 2020 to $9.5B in 2024, a nearly 50% increase. This growth was funded mainly by a surge in total deposits, which rose from $4.75B to $7.46B. While total debt levels have fluctuated, the bank has improved its leverage profile recently. The debt-to-equity ratio, which stood at 1.02 in 2022, improved to 0.73 by 2024. This strengthening of the balance sheet provides greater financial flexibility, signaling that the bank is managing its expansion risks prudently.

Cash flow performance has been consistently positive but also volatile, which is common for a growing bank. Operating cash flow was positive in each of the last five years, ranging from $74M to $220M. Importantly, free cash flow (FCF) has also been strong and has generally exceeded net income, reaching $171.2M in 2024 compared to net income of $120.8M. This indicates high-quality earnings and demonstrates that the bank generates more than enough cash to fund its operations and investments, a crucial sign of financial health.

Regarding shareholder payouts, Byline has consistently paid and grown its dividend. The dividend per share tripled from $0.12 in 2020 to $0.36 in 2024. Total cash paid for dividends increased accordingly, from $6.5M to $15.9M. Despite this growth, the dividend payout ratio has remained very conservative, typically staying below 16% of net income. On the other hand, the company has consistently issued new shares. The number of diluted shares outstanding grew from 38M in 2020 to 44M in 2024, representing an increase of approximately 15.8%.

From a shareholder's perspective, this capital allocation strategy presents a mixed picture. The dividend appears very safe and sustainable, easily covered by both earnings and free cash flow. In 2024, free cash flow of $171M covered the $15.9M dividend payment more than tenfold. However, the persistent increase in share count is a major drawback. While the bank's underlying earnings grew substantially, this dilution means each share represents a smaller piece of the company. Per-share metrics have still grown impressively (EPS up 189% since 2020), suggesting the capital raised was used productively to fuel profitable loan growth. Nonetheless, the dilution has acted as a headwind on the stock's total return.

In conclusion, Byline Bancorp's historical record shows a company that has executed a successful growth plan, resulting in a much larger and more profitable institution. Its biggest historical strength has been its ability to profitably grow its loan book and net interest income. The most significant weakness has been the reliance on issuing new shares to fund this growth, which has diluted existing shareholders. While the business has performed well, the historical record suggests that management has prioritized absolute growth over maximizing per-share value, leading to a resilient but not always rewarding performance for investors.

Future Growth

4/5

The specialized and niche banking sub-industry is expected to face continued evolution over the next 3-5 years, driven by several key factors. Consolidation is a primary theme, as smaller institutions struggle with the high fixed costs of regulatory compliance and technology investment, making them attractive targets for larger, more efficient banks like Byline. Technology will play a pivotal role, with successful banks leveraging fintech partnerships and digital platforms to improve efficiency, enhance customer experience, and expand their reach beyond traditional geographic footprints. The U.S. commercial loan market, a core area for niche banks, is projected to grow at a modest CAGR of ~3-5%, meaning growth must come from taking market share or excelling in higher-growth segments.

Several catalysts could shape industry demand. A stable or declining interest rate environment would likely stimulate loan demand and M&A activity. Conversely, regulatory shifts, particularly changes to capital requirements or consumer protection laws, could increase compliance burdens. The competitive landscape is intensifying; while the regulatory moat makes starting a new bank difficult, competition from non-bank lenders and specialized fintech companies is growing, particularly in areas like small business lending. These new entrants often compete on speed and convenience, forcing traditional banks to innovate. Success in this environment will depend on having a defensible niche, a scalable operating model, and a cost-effective funding base.

The bank's Small Business Administration (SBA) 7(a) lending platform is a primary growth engine. Currently, consumption is high, with Byline consistently ranking as a top-10 originator in a national market that facilitates ~$25-30 billion in loans annually. Growth is constrained by the health of the U.S. economy, which dictates small business confidence, and the availability of attractive premiums in the secondary market for selling the government-guaranteed portions of these loans. Over the next 3-5 years, consumption is expected to increase, driven by demographic trends such as retiring business owners selling to a new generation, often financed via SBA loans. A key catalyst would be any new government initiatives aimed at promoting small business formation. Competition is concentrated, with players like Live Oak Bancshares leading the market. Customers choose lenders based on expertise, processing speed, and certainty of execution. Byline's deep expertise and efficient platform allow it to win business, but it will likely remain a strong top-10 player rather than overtaking the top spot. A key risk to this segment is regulatory change; a reduction in the SBA guarantee percentage could lower secondary market premiums, directly hitting Byline's high-margin gain-on-sale revenue (Medium risk).

Byline's equipment finance and leasing division is another significant growth avenue. This segment serves a massive ~$1 trillion U.S. market. Current consumption is driven by business capital expenditures, which are sensitive to economic outlooks and corporate profitability. Growth is constrained by intense competition from the financing arms of large banks (e.g., U.S. Bank) and equipment manufacturers' own captive finance companies. Looking ahead, demand is expected to rise as companies invest in automation and technology to combat labor shortages and improve productivity. Replacement cycles for aging industrial equipment will also provide a steady tailwind. Byline competes by focusing on smaller-ticket transactions and specific industry verticals where it has underwriting expertise, allowing it to price risk effectively. It can outperform in these niches by providing more flexible and responsive service than larger, more bureaucratic competitors. A primary risk is residual value risk; if the value of off-lease equipment declines more than anticipated due to technological obsolescence, Byline could face write-downs (Medium risk).

Traditional commercial banking in the Chicago metropolitan area forms the foundation of Byline's balance sheet, providing the bulk of its loans and deposits. This market is mature and highly competitive, featuring global giants like JPMorgan Chase and strong local players like Wintrust Financial. Current loan demand, particularly in Commercial Real Estate (CRE), which constitutes ~49% of Byline's portfolio, is constrained by high interest rates and uncertainty around property types like office buildings. Future growth in this segment will likely be modest and tied to the ~1-2% projected GDP growth for the region. The opportunity for growth will come from leveraging its high-touch service model to win clients from larger competitors and through potential M&A, acquiring smaller local banks to gain scale and deposits. The biggest risk here is concentration; a downturn specific to the Chicago economy or a continued slump in the CRE market would significantly impact the bank's credit quality and earnings power (Medium-to-High risk).

Looking forward, Byline's growth strategy appears to be a tale of two parts. The national platforms in SBA and equipment finance offer the most exciting top-line growth potential, driven by secular trends and the bank's specialized expertise. However, this growth must be funded. The bank's ability to gather low-cost core deposits from its Chicago franchise will be the ultimate governor on its growth rate. A high loan-to-deposit ratio of 97% indicates that funding is already tight. Therefore, management's ability to either organically grow its Chicago deposit base or successfully acquire another local institution will be a critical determinant of its ability to scale its national businesses over the next 3-5 years. Furthermore, continued investment in technology to maintain the efficiency of its national platforms is essential to defend its position against both traditional banks and nimble fintech challengers.

Fair Value

4/5

As of early January 2026, Byline Bancorp's stock trades around $29.15, placing it in the upper third of its 52-week range. Its valuation is best understood through its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 10.5x and Price-to-Tangible Book (P/TBV) ratio of 1.32. These multiples are justified by Byline's specialized government-guaranteed lending model, which drives superior profitability and returns. Wall Street analysts reflect a cautiously optimistic view, with a median 12-month price target near $33.50, suggesting a modest 14-15% upside from current levels. This consensus provides a useful sentiment anchor, indicating the market recognizes the bank's operational strengths but doesn't foresee explosive growth.

Various valuation models suggest the stock is reasonably priced. An intrinsic value analysis using a dividend discount model yields a broad fair value range of $24.00 to $35.00, which comfortably includes the current stock price. From a yield perspective, the 1.38% dividend yield is modest, but the more insightful earnings yield (the inverse of the P/E ratio) stands at a healthy 9.5%. This provides a significant premium over risk-free benchmarks like the 10-Year Treasury yield, compensating investors for holding the stock. The main drawback in shareholder return has been historical share dilution, which has counteracted the value delivered through dividends.

When viewed against its own history and its peers, Byline's valuation appears appropriate. The current P/E and P/TBV ratios are very much in line with the company's 5- and 10-year historical averages, indicating it is not trading at a historical discount. Compared to similar regional banks, Byline trades at a slight discount on a P/E basis but almost exactly in line with peers on a P/TBV basis. Applying peer-group multiples to Byline's financials suggests a fair value between $30.71 and $35.13. Triangulating these different approaches leads to a final fair value range of $29.00 to $35.00, with a midpoint of $32.00. This confirms the verdict that Byline Bancorp is currently fairly valued, offering a modest but not compelling upside for new investors.

Future Risks

  • Byline Bancorp's heavy focus on small businesses and commercial real estate in the Chicago area makes it sensitive to economic downturns, which could increase loan defaults. The bank's profitability is also being squeezed by the high cost of deposits in a competitive market. Furthermore, its significant government-guaranteed lending business, a key profit driver, is vulnerable to changes in government policy. Investors should carefully monitor regional economic health, loan quality trends, and any developments related to the SBA lending programs.

Wisdom of Top Value Investors

Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett would view Byline Bancorp as a well-run, highly profitable community bank with a clear expertise in its niche of government-guaranteed lending, evidenced by its consistently high Net Interest Margin above 4.0%. However, he would be highly cautious due to the bank's significant geographic concentration in the Chicago metropolitan area, which introduces a level of risk he typically avoids. While the bank's Return on Assets of around 1.2% is impressive, the valuation at approximately 1.3x Price-to-Tangible-Book-Value does not offer the substantial margin of safety Buffett demands to compensate for the concentration risk. For retail investors, the takeaway is that while Byline is a strong operator, its lack of diversification makes it a riskier bet than larger, more geographically spread-out regional banks that Buffett would prefer.

Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger would likely view Byline Bancorp as a well-run, profitable niche operator, admiring its high Net Interest Margin above 4.0% which indicates strong command of its specialized SBA lending business. However, he would ultimately pass on the investment due to a critical flaw: its intense geographic concentration in the slow-growth Chicago market, a violation of his principle to avoid obvious, uncompensated risks. Munger prefers dominant, diversified franchises and would see Byline's lack of scale and single-market dependency as a potential source of future trouble. For retail investors, the takeaway is to prioritize business model resilience and diversification over purely strong operating metrics, making this a stock to avoid from a Munger perspective.

Bill Ackman

Bill Ackman would likely view Byline Bancorp as a high-performing but structurally flawed investment in 2025. He would be impressed by its best-in-class profitability, evidenced by a Net Interest Margin consistently above 4.0% and a strong Return on Assets around 1.2%, which signal significant pricing power and operational excellence in its niche. However, this strength is undermined by a critical flaw: extreme geographic concentration in the mature Chicago market, making the bank highly vulnerable to a single regional downturn. Ackman prefers simple, predictable, and scalable platforms with durable competitive advantages, and Byline's single-market dependency represents a concentrated risk he would likely be unwilling to take. While its valuation appears attractive with a P/E ratio often below 10x, the lack of a clear catalyst to unlock value or de-risk the business model would lead him to pass. For retail investors, the key takeaway is that while Byline is a very well-run bank, its future is tethered to a single, slow-growth economy, a risk that a catalyst-focused investor like Ackman would avoid. Ackman would likely pivot his attention toward banks with more scalable models or superior geographic positioning, such as Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) for its national tech platform, Veritex Holdings (VBTX) for its exposure to high-growth Texas markets, or Wintrust Financial (WTFC) for its dominant and more diversified Chicago-area franchise. A potential sale of the company to a larger, more diversified institution would be the most likely catalyst to attract his interest.

Competition

Byline Bancorp, Inc. operates with a clearly defined strategy that sets it apart from many competitors in the crowded banking landscape. Instead of being a generalist, Byline has carved out a specialty in commercial banking, with a particular focus on serving small and medium-sized businesses throughout the Chicago metropolitan area. This focused approach allows it to develop deep client relationships and expertise in specific lending areas, most notably in government-guaranteed loans such as those from the Small Business Administration (SBA). This specialization is a double-edged sword; it fuels higher-than-average loan yields and a robust Net Interest Margin, which is a key measure of a bank's core profitability from lending.

The competitive advantage for Byline comes from this very specialization. While larger banks may offer a broader suite of services, Byline's expertise in navigating the complexities of commercial and SBA lending can create high switching costs for its clients, who rely on the bank's tailored advice and efficient execution. This model has allowed Byline to generate impressive profitability metrics for a bank of its size, including a strong Return on Average Assets (ROAA) and Return on Average Tangible Common Equity (ROATCE). The bank has also been an active acquirer of smaller local banks, using mergers and acquisitions to consolidate its market share and gain operational efficiencies within its core geography.

However, this focused strategy also introduces specific risks when compared to more diversified competitors. Byline's heavy reliance on the Chicago metropolitan area makes it vulnerable to regional economic downturns. A slowdown in the local economy could disproportionately impact its small business clients, leading to higher credit losses. Furthermore, its concentration in commercial lending makes it more sensitive to business cycles than banks with a larger mix of consumer loans, mortgages, and wealth management services. Competitors with broader geographic footprints or more varied revenue streams are better insulated from localized economic shocks, presenting a more resilient, albeit potentially less profitable, investment profile. Therefore, evaluating Byline requires balancing its high-margin niche focus against the inherent concentration risks of its business model.

  • Wintrust Financial Corporation

    WTFC • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Wintrust Financial Corporation and Byline Bancorp both operate heavily in the Chicago metropolitan area, but they represent different tiers of the banking ecosystem. Wintrust is a much larger, more diversified financial holding company, while Byline is a smaller, more specialized commercial bank. Wintrust's significant scale provides it with a lower cost of funds, a wider brand presence, and a broader array of financial services, including wealth management and specialized insurance financing, which Byline largely lacks. In contrast, Byline's focused model allows it to achieve a higher Net Interest Margin (NIM) due to its expertise in higher-yielding government-guaranteed loans.

    In Business & Moat, Wintrust has a clear edge. Its brand is significantly stronger across the Chicago area, visible through extensive marketing and a large network of community bank-branded branches (~175 locations vs. Byline's ~40). Switching costs are high for both, but Wintrust's integrated wealth management and commercial services create a stickier ecosystem. The most significant difference is scale; Wintrust's total assets of over $50 billion dwarf Byline's approximate $9 billion, providing major economies of scale and a lower cost of deposits. Both benefit from high regulatory barriers inherent in banking. Overall Winner: Wintrust Financial Corporation, due to its overwhelming advantages in scale and brand recognition.

    Financially, the comparison is nuanced. Wintrust consistently generates higher net revenue, but Byline often leads on core profitability margins. Byline's revenue growth has been strong, often aided by acquisitions. Byline typically reports a higher NIM (often above 4.0%) compared to Wintrust's (around 3.5%), a direct result of its specialized loan portfolio. However, Wintrust is more efficient, with an efficiency ratio often in the mid-50s, while Byline's is closer to 60%. Both maintain strong capital ratios, well above regulatory minimums. In terms of profitability, Byline's Return on Assets (ROA) is often higher (e.g., 1.2% vs. Wintrust's 1.1%), but Wintrust's larger earnings base provides more stability. Overall Financials Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., for its superior margins and demonstrated profitability on a smaller asset base.

    Looking at Past Performance, Wintrust has delivered more consistent, albeit slower, growth over the past five years, reflecting its maturity. Byline's growth has been more sporadic, often driven by M&A. In terms of total shareholder return (TSR), performance has varied. Over a 5-year period, Wintrust has generally provided more stable returns with lower volatility (beta closer to 1.0) compared to Byline, which exhibits higher volatility. Wintrust's dividend growth has also been more consistent. For growth, Byline has shown higher bursts. For TSR and risk, Wintrust has been more stable. Overall Past Performance Winner: Wintrust Financial Corporation, based on its track record of steadier growth and lower risk profile.

    For Future Growth, Wintrust's strategy is centered on organic growth through its diversified business lines and leveraging its strong brand to capture more market share in Chicago and southern Wisconsin. Its large wealth management division provides a source of non-interest income growth. Byline's growth is more dependent on the health of the small business sector and its ability to continue its successful M&A strategy of acquiring smaller community banks. Wintrust has the edge on organic growth opportunities due to its diverse product set, while Byline has a more focused, but potentially higher-risk, path through acquisitions and specialized lending. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Wintrust Financial Corporation, due to its multiple levers for organic growth and less reliance on M&A.

    In terms of Fair Value, Byline often trades at a lower valuation multiple than Wintrust, which is typical for a smaller, less diversified bank. For example, Byline might trade at a Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) of 1.3x, while Wintrust commands a premium, often closer to 1.5x. This premium is justified by Wintrust's scale, lower risk profile, and more diversified earnings stream. Byline's dividend yield is typically comparable or slightly lower. From a risk-adjusted perspective, Wintrust's higher price reflects its higher quality. However, for an investor seeking value, Byline's lower multiples combined with its high profitability offer a compelling case. Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., as it offers superior profitability for a lower relative price, making it a better value proposition if an investor is comfortable with its concentration risk.

    Winner: Wintrust Financial Corporation over Byline Bancorp, Inc. While Byline is a highly effective and profitable niche operator with an impressive NIM exceeding 4.0%, Wintrust's advantages are simply too significant to ignore. Wintrust's massive scale ($50B+ in assets vs. BY's ~$9B), superior brand recognition in their shared core market, and diversified revenue streams from wealth management and insurance provide a much more resilient and durable franchise. Byline's primary weakness is its deep concentration in the Chicago small business market, making it far more vulnerable to a regional downturn. Wintrust's stability, lower funding costs, and consistent performance make it the stronger long-term investment, despite Byline's superior profitability on certain metrics.

  • Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.

    LOB • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Live Oak Bancshares presents a fascinating and direct comparison to Byline Bancorp, as both are leaders in SBA lending but employ vastly different business models. Byline is a traditional community bank with a physical branch network concentrated in Chicago, using its SBA expertise as a high-margin specialty. Live Oak, in contrast, is a nationwide, digital-only bank that leverages technology to be one of the largest SBA 7(a) lenders in the country by volume. Live Oak's model is built for scale and efficiency, while Byline's is built on deep, in-person community relationships.

    Regarding Business & Moat, Live Oak's advantage is its technology-driven national platform and top-tier brand in the SBA lending space (#1 SBA 7(a) lender by volume). Its fintech subsidiaries, like Canapi Ventures, give it an innovation edge. Byline's moat is its physical presence and deep roots in the Chicago business community, creating sticky relationships that are difficult to replicate online. Switching costs are high for both. In terms of scale, Live Oak's loan book is comparable in size to Byline's (~$8-10B), but its reach is national. Regulatory barriers are high for both, but Live Oak's tech focus introduces different compliance challenges. Winner: Live Oak Bancshares, Inc., as its technology platform and national brand create a more scalable and forward-looking moat.

    From a Financial Statement perspective, the two banks have distinct profiles. Live Oak's revenue growth is often more volatile, tied to loan origination volumes and gains on the sale of guaranteed portions of its loans. Byline has more stable, recurring net interest income. Byline consistently produces a higher NIM (often 4.0%+ vs. Live Oak's 3.5%-3.8%) because it holds more of its loans on its balance sheet. However, Live Oak's tech platform gives it a stellar efficiency ratio, often below 50%, which is far superior to Byline's ~60%. Both have strong ROA and ROE, but Live Oak's can be more volatile due to its business model. Both are well-capitalized. Overall Financials Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., for its more stable and predictable earnings stream and superior core lending margin.

    In Past Performance, Live Oak has demonstrated explosive growth in its chosen niches, with revenue and EPS CAGR often outpacing Byline's over 3- and 5-year periods. However, this growth comes with much higher risk and volatility. Live Oak's stock (LOB) has experienced massive swings, with significantly higher beta and larger drawdowns than the more stable BY. Byline's performance has been steadier, driven by methodical acquisitions and organic growth in a defined market. For pure growth, Live Oak wins. For risk-adjusted returns and stability, Byline is the victor. Overall Past Performance Winner: Live Oak Bancshares, Inc., for its proven ability to generate phenomenal, albeit volatile, growth.

    Looking at Future Growth, Live Oak has far more levers to pull. It is continuously entering new specialized lending verticals (e.g., solar, agriculture) on its national platform and can scale them rapidly without building physical branches. Its investment in fintech provides another avenue for growth. Byline's future growth is largely tied to the economic health of Chicago and its ability to find attractive M&A targets in a consolidating market. Live Oak's addressable market is the entire United States, giving it a much larger runway. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Live Oak Bancshares, Inc., due to its highly scalable, technology-driven national model and expansion into new verticals.

    On Fair Value, Live Oak typically trades at a significant premium to Byline, reflecting its status as a high-growth fintech-enabled bank. LOB's P/E and P/TBV ratios are often substantially higher than BY's (e.g., P/TBV of 2.0x+ for LOB vs. 1.3x for BY). This premium is for its superior growth prospects and technology platform. Byline, on the other hand, looks much cheaper on traditional banking metrics. Its dividend yield is also typically higher and more stable. For a value-oriented investor, Byline is the obvious choice. For a growth-oriented investor, Live Oak's premium may be justified. Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., as it offers strong profitability at a much more reasonable, value-oriented price.

    Winner: Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. over Byline Bancorp, Inc. This is a choice between two excellent but different business models. Live Oak wins because its technology-driven, national platform is more scalable and has a significantly larger addressable market, giving it a superior long-term growth trajectory. While Byline is an impressive community bank with a stronger NIM (>4.0%) and a more stable earnings profile, its growth is geographically constrained. Live Oak's key weakness is the volatility of its earnings and stock price, but its best-in-class efficiency ratio (<50%) and proven ability to dominate niche lending verticals nationwide give it a decisive edge as a forward-looking investment. The verdict rests on Live Oak's superior, scalable, and modern business model.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corp

    EFSC • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Enterprise Financial Services Corp (EFSC) and Byline Bancorp are very closely matched competitors, both focusing on serving the banking needs of privately held businesses. The key difference is geography: Byline is concentrated in Chicago, while Enterprise is centered in St. Louis with operations in Kansas City, Phoenix, and California. This makes for an excellent peer-to-peer comparison, testing the strength of similar business models in different regional economies. Both are similarly sized, with Enterprise being slightly larger.

    Analyzing their Business & Moat, both banks build their franchise on deep relationships with commercial clients, leading to high switching costs. Neither has a dominant national brand, but both are well-respected in their local markets. Enterprise's geographic diversification across several distinct metropolitan areas gives it a slight edge over Byline's Chicago-centric model, reducing its exposure to a single regional downturn. In terms of scale, Enterprise's total assets are larger, around $14 billion to Byline's $9 billion, giving it a modest advantage in operational leverage. Regulatory barriers are identical for both. Winner: Enterprise Financial Services Corp, due to its superior geographic diversification and slightly larger scale.

    In a Financial Statement comparison, both banks are strong performers. They often post similar NIMs, although Byline's expertise in SBA lending sometimes gives it a slight edge (e.g., 4.1% for BY vs. 3.9% for EFSC). Both run very efficiently, with efficiency ratios typically in the low- to mid-50s, a hallmark of well-run commercial banks. Profitability metrics like ROA and ROE are also often neck-and-neck, usually in the top quartile for their peer group (ROA of 1.2%-1.4% is common for both). Both are well-capitalized and have a good track record of managing credit quality. This category is extremely close. Overall Financials Winner: Tie, as both banks exhibit remarkably similar and strong core financial performance.

    Regarding Past Performance, both have used a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions to expand. Over the last five years, both EFSC and BY have delivered solid revenue and EPS growth. Their total shareholder returns have also been competitive and often move in tandem, reflecting their similar business models and exposure to interest rate cycles. EFSC's slightly more diversified geographic footprint may have contributed to slightly less volatile earnings during certain periods. However, Byline's acquisitions have at times provided larger boosts to its growth metrics. It is difficult to declare a clear winner here. Overall Past Performance Winner: Tie, as both have demonstrated a successful track record of growth and shareholder value creation.

    For Future Growth, prospects for both depend on the economic health of their respective markets and their ability to continue taking market share from larger competitors. Enterprise's presence in high-growth markets like Phoenix gives it a potential tailwind that Byline's Chicago focus may lack. Both will continue to look for opportunistic M&A deals to bolster their franchises. Enterprise's strategy of expanding into new, attractive markets seems slightly more proactive and scalable than Byline's focus on consolidating its position in a single, more mature market. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Enterprise Financial Services Corp, for its presence in faster-growing regional economies.

    In a Fair Value assessment, both stocks typically trade at similar valuation multiples, reflecting their strong financial performance and similar risk profiles. It is common to see both trade at a P/E ratio of 8x-10x and a P/TBV of 1.3x-1.6x. Their dividend yields are also generally in the same ballpark. The choice often comes down to an investor's view on the relative economic prospects of their core markets—the Midwest for Enterprise versus Chicagoland for Byline. Given the slight growth edge to Enterprise's markets, its valuation can be seen as slightly more attractive. Winner: Enterprise Financial Services Corp, as it offers a similar valuation for a slightly better growth and diversification profile.

    Winner: Enterprise Financial Services Corp over Byline Bancorp, Inc. This is a very close contest between two high-quality commercial banks executing similar strategies. Enterprise wins by a narrow margin primarily due to its superior geographic diversification. While Byline's profitability is excellent, its concentration in the Chicago market (>$9B in assets) represents a single point of failure that Enterprise mitigates by operating across several distinct economic regions (>$14B in assets). This diversification provides a more resilient earnings stream and a slightly better risk-adjusted growth outlook. While both are top-tier operators, Enterprise's more prudent geographic strategy makes it the slightly stronger investment.

  • Old National Bancorp

    ONB • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Old National Bancorp (ONB) represents a scaled-up, traditional Midwestern bank, especially after its merger with First Midwest Bank, a direct Chicago competitor to Byline. The comparison highlights the difference between a large, diversified regional bank and a smaller, niche-focused player. ONB has a significant presence across the Midwest, including a strong foothold in Chicago, and offers a full spectrum of banking services. Byline, while also in Chicago, is much more concentrated on commercial and SBA lending. ONB's strategy is about scale and market coverage, while Byline's is about specialized profitability.

    In terms of Business & Moat, Old National's post-merger scale is a formidable advantage. With assets exceeding $45 billion, it dwarfs Byline's $9 billion. This scale provides significant funding advantages and operational efficiencies. The combined ONB and First Midwest brands give it broad recognition across multiple states, surpassing Byline's localized brand. While both have sticky customer relationships, ONB's wider product set (including robust wealth management) enhances its moat. Byline's only edge is its deeper expertise in the niche SBA lending market. Overall Winner: Old National Bancorp, due to its overwhelming advantages in scale, geographic diversification, and brand reach.

    From a Financial Statement perspective, the trade-offs are clear. ONB's revenue base is far larger and more diversified, with a healthier mix of non-interest income from fees and wealth management. However, Byline is the clear winner on core profitability. Byline's NIM is consistently higher, often by 50-75 basis points (e.g., 4.0% vs. 3.3%), thanks to its higher-yielding loan focus. Byline also tends to post a higher ROA. ONB, due to its size and the complexity of its merger integration, often has a higher efficiency ratio (less efficient) than the more nimble Byline. Both maintain strong capital adequacy. Overall Financials Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., for its superior margins and more efficient conversion of assets into profit.

    Analyzing Past Performance, ONB has a long history of steady, dividend-focused returns, typical of a mature regional bank. Its growth has been heavily influenced by large M&A transactions, particularly the First Midwest merger. Byline's growth has also been acquisitive but on a much smaller scale. In terms of TSR, ONB has provided stable, lower-volatility returns, while Byline's stock has shown more cyclicality. For investors prioritizing stability and dividends, ONB has the stronger record. For those seeking growth spurred by a focused strategy, Byline has shown periods of outperformance. Overall Past Performance Winner: Old National Bancorp, for its longer track record of stability and consistent capital returns.

    For Future Growth, ONB's path is focused on successfully integrating the First Midwest acquisition, realizing cost synergies, and leveraging its expanded footprint to cross-sell products. Its growth will be more aligned with the general economic trajectory of the Midwest. Byline's growth remains tied to the niche small business market and its ability to continue its roll-up strategy of smaller banks. ONB's scale gives it more capacity for larger, more impactful M&A in the future. The clarity of ONB's post-merger synergy plan offers a more defined, if less spectacular, growth path. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Old National Bancorp, as it has a clear, large-scale platform for driving incremental organic and inorganic growth across a wider territory.

    In terms of Fair Value, Byline's higher profitability and higher risk profile often result in a valuation that is similar to, or slightly cheaper than, ONB's on a P/TBV basis. ONB is often viewed as a safer, more defensive holding, which can sometimes earn it a slight premium. ONB typically offers a higher dividend yield (e.g., 3.5% vs. Byline's 1.7%), making it more attractive to income-focused investors. Byline's value proposition is its higher potential for earnings growth from a smaller base. Winner: Old National Bancorp, as its higher dividend yield and lower-risk profile offer a more compelling value proposition for a broader range of investors.

    Winner: Old National Bancorp over Byline Bancorp, Inc. While Byline is a more profitable bank on a per-asset basis, Old National's scale, diversification, and stability make it the superior choice. The banking industry is increasingly favoring scale, which leads to funding advantages, broader service offerings, and the ability to absorb higher regulatory and technology costs. Byline's model, while currently lucrative with a NIM over 4.0%, carries significant concentration risk. ONB's post-merger franchise is a Midwestern powerhouse with $45B+ in assets, a more resilient and diversified balance sheet, and a more attractive dividend yield, making it a more robust investment for long-term, risk-averse investors.

  • Simmons First National Corporation

    SFNC • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) is a multi-state financial holding company with a footprint primarily in the South and Midwest, differing from Byline's singular focus on the Chicago area. Simmons has grown significantly through a series of acquisitions, creating a diversified franchise across several states like Arkansas, Texas, and Tennessee. This comparison contrasts Byline's deep, niche concentration with Simmons' broad, geographically diversified community banking model. Simmons is considerably larger than Byline, creating an immediate difference in scale and strategy.

    In the realm of Business & Moat, Simmons' primary strength is its geographic diversification. By operating across multiple states with varying economic drivers, it mitigates the risk of a regional downturn, a key vulnerability for Byline. Its scale, with total assets over $27 billion compared to Byline's $9 billion, provides a lower cost of funds and greater operational leverage. Both banks build moats through local relationships, but Simmons does so across a much wider territory. Byline's moat is deeper but narrower, built on its SBA lending expertise. Winner: Simmons First National Corporation, due to its superior scale and risk-reducing geographic diversification.

    From a Financial Statement perspective, Byline's specialization often translates to better core profitability metrics. Byline consistently posts a higher NIM, frequently exceeding 4.0%, while Simmons' more traditional loan portfolio typically results in a NIM in the 3.2%-3.5% range. Byline also tends to have a slightly better efficiency ratio. However, Simmons generates a much larger and more stable stream of net income due to its sheer size. Profitability metrics like ROA are often comparable, with both banks running around the 1.0%-1.2% level, but Simmons' larger balance sheet makes its earnings less volatile. Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., for its superior margins and demonstrated efficiency in its focused operations.

    Looking at Past Performance, Simmons has a long history as an aggressive acquirer, and its growth in assets and earnings over the past decade reflects this strategy. This has resulted in periods of strong stock performance, but also challenges related to merger integration. Byline's M&A has been more targeted and smaller in scale. Over a five-year period, Simmons' broader diversification has generally led to a less volatile total shareholder return compared to the more economically sensitive Byline. Simmons also has a longer, more consistent history of paying and increasing its dividend. Overall Past Performance Winner: Simmons First National Corporation, based on its successful execution of a large-scale growth-by-acquisition strategy and more stable returns.

    For Future Growth, Simmons' strategy involves optimizing its existing footprint, realizing efficiencies from past acquisitions, and seeking further M&A opportunities in and around its current markets. Its presence in high-growth states like Texas provides a significant organic growth tailwind. Byline's growth is more constrained, depending on the Chicago economy and finding suitable small-bank targets. Simmons has a clearer and more diversified path to future growth, both organically and through acquisition. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Simmons First National Corporation, due to its presence in faster-growing markets and greater capacity for future M&A.

    When assessing Fair Value, Simmons' diversification and scale often lead to it trading at a slight valuation premium to Byline on a P/TBV basis. However, due to its lower profitability margins, its P/E ratio can sometimes be similar to or even higher than Byline's. Simmons typically offers a more attractive dividend yield, which appeals to income investors. For an investor focused on core profitability for the price, Byline may look cheaper. But for a risk-adjusted view, Simmons' valuation is well-supported by its more resilient business model. Winner: Simmons First National Corporation, as its valuation is justified by a lower-risk profile and it offers a superior dividend yield.

    Winner: Simmons First National Corporation over Byline Bancorp, Inc. Simmons emerges as the stronger investment due to its successful execution of a diversified, multi-state strategy. While Byline is a master of its niche with an enviable NIM (>4.0%), its concentration in a single metropolitan area is a critical weakness. Simmons' franchise, with over $27 billion in assets spread across several economically diverse states, offers a much more resilient and durable platform for long-term growth. This diversification, combined with a solid track record of M&A and a more attractive dividend, outweighs Byline's superior but narrowly-focused profitability. Simmons provides a better balance of growth, stability, and income.

  • Veritex Holdings, Inc.

    VBTX • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Veritex Holdings, Inc. (VBTX) is a Texas-based community bank focused on serving businesses in the fast-growing Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metropolitan areas. This provides a compelling comparison to Byline: both are commercially-focused banks of a similar size, but operate in vastly different economic environments. Byline is in the mature, slower-growth Chicago market, while Veritex is in the dynamic, high-growth Texas market. This contrast highlights the impact of geography on a bank's growth prospects and valuation.

    In Business & Moat, both banks build their competitive advantage through strong relationships with local business owners, creating high switching costs. Neither possesses a national brand, but both are strong players in their respective home turfs. Veritex's moat is amplified by its location; operating in one of the nation's most robust economic corridors provides a powerful tailwind. Byline's moat is its specialized expertise in government-guaranteed lending. In terms of scale, the two are very comparable, with assets in the $9-$12 billion range. The deciding factor is the quality of their operating market. Winner: Veritex Holdings, Inc., as its location in high-growth Texas markets provides a superior operating environment and a stronger moat against economic cycles.

    From a Financial Statement analysis, both are high-performing institutions. Byline often has the edge on NIM, with its SBA focus pushing its margin above 4.0%, while Veritex's is typically strong but slightly lower, in the 3.6%-3.9% range. However, Veritex frequently posts stronger loan growth, a direct result of the booming Texas economy. Both banks manage their operations well, with efficiency ratios typically in the low 50s. Profitability metrics like ROA are often very close, around 1.2% for both. This is a very tight race. Overall Financials Winner: Tie, as Byline's margin superiority is matched by Veritex's stronger organic growth profile.

    Looking at Past Performance, Veritex has delivered superior growth over the last five years. Its revenue and EPS CAGR have consistently outpaced Byline's, driven by the strong organic loan demand in its markets. This stronger fundamental growth has often translated into better total shareholder returns for VBTX, albeit with the volatility that comes with a growth-oriented stock. Byline's performance has been more measured, reflecting its more mature market. For growth, Veritex is the clear winner. For stability, Byline has a slight edge, but Veritex's track record of harnessing Texas's economic engine is impressive. Overall Past Performance Winner: Veritex Holdings, Inc., for its demonstrated history of superior growth.

    For Future Growth, the outlook for Veritex appears brighter. The demographic and business influx into Texas provides a long runway for organic growth that is simply unavailable in Byline's Midwest market. While both banks will pursue M&A, Veritex has more opportunities to acquire banks in other attractive Texas markets. Consensus estimates for loan and earnings growth are typically higher for Veritex than for Byline. Byline's growth is more dependent on taking market share in a slow-growth environment. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Veritex Holdings, Inc., by a significant margin, due to its prime geographic location.

    In terms of Fair Value, Veritex's superior growth prospects mean it almost always trades at a premium valuation to Byline. It is common to see VBTX trade at a P/TBV multiple of 1.7x-2.0x, compared to 1.3x-1.5x for BY. This quality-vs-price trade-off is central to the comparison. Byline is statistically cheaper, but Veritex's premium is arguably justified by its much stronger growth profile. The dividend yields are often comparable, though Byline's may sometimes be slightly higher. For an investor willing to pay for growth, Veritex is the better option. Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., on a pure valuation basis, as it offers strong profitability for a lower price, making it the better 'value' play.

    Winner: Veritex Holdings, Inc. over Byline Bancorp, Inc. The winner is determined by geography. While Byline is an excellent operator in a tough market, Veritex is a strong operator in a fantastic market. Veritex's location in the economic hotspots of Dallas and Houston provides a powerful, long-term tailwind for organic growth that Byline cannot match in the mature Chicago market. This has translated into superior historical growth in loans and earnings and supports a brighter future outlook. Although Byline may look cheaper on paper with its higher NIM and lower P/TBV multiple, Veritex's premium valuation is justified by its far superior growth prospects. In banking, as in real estate, location is paramount.

  • Cadence Bank

    CADE • NYSE MAIN MARKET

    Cadence Bank (CADE) is a large, diversified regional bank with a significant presence across the Southern U.S. and Texas. Following its merger with BancorpSouth, Cadence became a sizable institution with a broad range of services, including commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, and insurance. The comparison with Byline highlights the vast differences in scale, geographic scope, and business model. Cadence is a diversified banking giant relative to Byline, which is a geographically concentrated niche specialist.

    Regarding Business & Moat, Cadence's key advantages are its scale and diversification. With assets approaching $50 billion, it operates on a completely different level than Byline's $9 billion. This scale provides funding cost advantages, a larger marketing budget, and the ability to serve much larger clients. Its geographic footprint across the high-growth Sun Belt region is a significant moat, insulating it from weakness in any single market. Byline's moat is its deep, specialized knowledge in Chicago's small business community. However, this is narrow compared to Cadence's broad and resilient franchise. Winner: Cadence Bank, due to its immense scale and superior geographic diversification.

    From a Financial Statement viewpoint, Byline's specialization once again shines through in its margins. Byline's NIM consistently outperforms Cadence's, often by a wide margin (e.g., 4.0%+ for BY vs. 3.2% for CADE). This is because Cadence has a more traditional, lower-yielding loan mix. Byline is also typically more efficient. However, Cadence's earnings are far larger and more diversified, with a substantial contribution from non-interest income (fees, wealth management), which provides stability that Byline lacks. Cadence's ROA is generally lower than Byline's, reflecting its lower-margin business mix. Overall Financials Winner: Byline Bancorp, Inc., for its superior profitability and efficiency on a per-asset basis.

    In analyzing Past Performance, Cadence's history is marked by significant M&A activity, which has driven most of its growth but also introduced integration risks and complexities. Its performance reflects the broader economic trends of the Southern U.S. Byline's performance is more tied to the Chicago economy and the SBA lending cycle. In terms of total shareholder return, large regional banks like Cadence often provide more stable, dividend-oriented returns, whereas Byline's stock can be more volatile. Cadence has a longer history of consistent dividend payments. Overall Past Performance Winner: Cadence Bank, for providing more stable, albeit slower-growing, returns from a larger, more diversified base.

    For Future Growth, Cadence is focused on capitalizing on its position in fast-growing Sun Belt markets and leveraging its scale to gain operating efficiencies. Its large platform provides ample opportunity for organic growth and bolt-on acquisitions. Byline's growth path is narrower, relying on its niche expertise and small-scale M&A in a single metro area. The demographic and economic tailwinds in Cadence's core markets give it a clear advantage in long-term growth potential. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Cadence Bank, due to its presence in superior growth markets and its greater scale.

    In a Fair Value comparison, Cadence's lower profitability profile usually means it trades at a discount to more profitable peers like Byline on a P/TBV basis. It's not uncommon for CADE to trade near or even below its tangible book value, while BY trades at a premium. Cadence typically offers a much higher dividend yield, making it attractive to income investors. The market is essentially pricing Byline for its high profitability and Cadence for its lower returns but stable, income-producing nature. For an investor seeking income and value, Cadence is the more compelling choice. Winner: Cadence Bank, as it often trades at a lower valuation and offers a significantly higher dividend yield.

    Winner: Cadence Bank over Byline Bancorp, Inc. Cadence wins this matchup based on the classic banking virtues of scale, diversification, and a strong presence in high-growth markets. While Byline is an exceptionally profitable bank for its size, with a NIM (>4.0%) that Cadence cannot match, its business model is inherently riskier due to its concentration. Cadence's $50B asset base, its footprint across the vibrant Sun Belt, and its diversified revenue streams create a much more resilient and durable institution. For most investors, the combination of a lower valuation, a higher dividend yield, and a superior long-term growth environment makes Cadence the more prudent and compelling investment choice.

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Detailed Analysis

Does Byline Bancorp, Inc. Have a Strong Business Model and Competitive Moat?

4/5

Byline Bancorp operates a solid, niche-focused business model centered on commercial banking in Chicago and two national platforms for SBA lending and equipment finance. Its primary competitive advantage, or moat, stems from deep expertise in these specialized lending areas, which generate above-average loan yields and significant fee income. This strategy, however, makes the bank highly sensitive to the economic health of small businesses and exposes it to volatile income from loan sales. While credit quality is currently well-managed, the concentration in commercial lending presents a key risk. The investor takeaway is mixed-to-positive, reflecting a well-run niche operator with heightened economic cyclicality.

  • Low-Cost Core Deposits

    Fail

    The bank's deposit base is decent but not a key strength, with a cost of funds that is rising and a lower proportion of noninterest-bearing deposits compared to top-tier commercial banks.

    A low-cost deposit franchise is a powerful moat for a bank, but it is not Byline's primary advantage. As of Q1 2024, noninterest-bearing deposits comprised 27.8% of total deposits, which is a respectable but not exceptional figure; top commercial banks often exceed 35%. The total cost of deposits was 2.67% in the same period, reflecting the broader industry trend of rising funding costs in a high-interest-rate environment. Byline's loan-to-deposit ratio stood at 97%, indicating that it is effectively lending out its deposits but has a limited liquidity cushion. The bank primarily serves commercial clients, whose deposits are generally less sticky than retail accounts during periods of rate volatility. Because the deposit base is functional but does not provide a distinct cost advantage over peers, this factor receives a 'Fail'.

  • Niche Loan Concentration

    Pass

    Byline successfully leverages its niche focus in SBA and equipment finance to achieve a high net interest margin, though this specialization creates concentration risk tied to small business health.

    Byline's strategic focus on specialized lending is evident in its portfolio and profitability. While SBA and equipment lease financing make up a significant portion of new originations, the overall loan book remains concentrated in commercial real estate (49%) and commercial & industrial loans (28%). The advantage of this strategy is reflected in its strong net interest margin (NIM), which was a healthy 3.99% in Q1 2024, well above the industry average. This high NIM demonstrates pricing power derived from its expertise in complex, higher-yielding loan products. However, this focus on commercial and small business borrowers creates significant concentration risk. The bank's fortunes are closely tied to the economic vitality of SMBs, which are more vulnerable during economic downturns. While the yields justify the risk in the current environment, the lack of diversification outside of commercial lending makes the model inherently cyclical. The strong profitability warrants a 'Pass', but investors must be aware of the associated concentration risk.

  • Underwriting Discipline in Niche

    Pass

    Despite its focus on higher-risk commercial and SBA loans, Byline maintains strong credit quality with low charge-offs and healthy reserve coverage, demonstrating effective underwriting.

    Underwriting discipline is critical for any lender, especially one focused on the SMB sector. Byline has demonstrated a strong track record of managing credit risk within its niches. As of Q1 2024, its ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans was a low 0.70%, and annualized net charge-offs were manageable at 0.30%. These figures are solid for a bank with its loan mix. More importantly, the bank's allowance for credit losses (ACL) stands at 1.30% of total loans. This provides a strong coverage ratio (ACL to nonperforming loans) of 186%, indicating it is well-reserved against potential future losses. This strong performance suggests Byline’s specialized expertise in underwriting allows it to correctly price risk and maintain a healthy portfolio, which is the cornerstone of a durable lending moat. The prudent risk management and strong credit metrics earn this factor a 'Pass'.

  • Niche Fee Ecosystem

    Pass

    Byline has a strong fee income stream, primarily from selling SBA loans, which provides valuable revenue diversification but is also more volatile than recurring service fees.

    Byline's ability to generate non-interest income is a key strength that differentiates it from typical community banks. In the first quarter of 2024, non-interest income was 25.6% of total revenue, a robust figure for a commercial bank. The main driver is the gain on sale of loans, which contributed $11.1 million of the $31.1 million in total non-interest income. This income comes from its national SBA lending platform, where it originates loans and sells the government-guaranteed portion. While this is a high-margin activity that showcases its niche expertise, it is less predictable than recurring fees and is sensitive to changes in interest rates and secondary market demand. A slowdown in loan demand or unfavorable market conditions could significantly impact this revenue source. Therefore, while the fee ecosystem is a significant positive, its reliance on transactional gains rather than stable, recurring service fees leads to a 'Pass' with a note of caution about its volatility.

  • Partner Origination Channels

    Pass

    The bank effectively utilizes a national platform and likely indirect channels to source high-margin SBA loans and equipment leases, driving significant and profitable origination volume.

    Byline's success in its national lending niches is heavily dependent on efficient origination channels that extend beyond its physical branch network. The SBA lending division operates through a nationwide network of loan production offices, enabling it to build a top-ranked platform. This is a form of direct and partner-driven origination that allows for national scale. In Q1 2024, the bank originated $154.5 million in SBA 7(a) loans and sold $107.5 million, generating $11.1 million in gain-on-sale income. This demonstrates a robust pipeline that is central to its fee income strategy. Similarly, its equipment finance group originates loans and leases across the country, often through relationships with vendors and dealers. These channels allow Byline to acquire high-yielding assets efficiently and at scale, forming a key part of its moat. This factor is a clear strength and earns a 'Pass'.

How Strong Are Byline Bancorp, Inc.'s Financial Statements?

5/5

Byline Bancorp demonstrates solid financial health, marked by consistent profitability and recent earnings growth. In its latest quarter, the bank reported strong net income of $37.2 million and a notable improvement in operating cash flow to $38.35 million. While its balance sheet is expanding with total assets now at $9.81 billion, a high loan-to-deposit ratio of around 96% warrants investor attention as a potential liquidity risk. The company reliably pays a well-covered dividend, although shareholders have experienced some dilution from an increasing share count. The overall investor takeaway is positive, reflecting a profitable and growing bank, but with a need to monitor liquidity and shareholder dilution.

  • Credit Costs and Reserves

    Pass

    Byline is actively managing credit risk by setting aside funds for potential loan losses, with a significant decrease in provisions last quarter suggesting an improving credit outlook.

    The bank's management of credit risk appears prudent. In the most recent quarter, the provision for credit losses was $5.3 million, a sharp decrease from $11.92 million in the prior quarter. This reduction could signal management's confidence in the quality of its loan portfolio. The total allowance for credit losses stands at $105.72 million, which represents about 1.40% of its gross loans of $7.53 billion. This reserve level seems reasonable for a specialized lender. While data on nonperforming loans is unavailable to calculate a precise coverage ratio, the consistent provisioning and the recent decline in new provisions are positive indicators of disciplined credit management.

  • Operating Efficiency

    Pass

    Byline operates with excellent efficiency, keeping its costs under control while growing revenue, which translates directly to stronger profitability.

    The bank demonstrates impressive expense discipline. We can calculate its efficiency ratio, a key metric of a bank's overhead, by dividing noninterest expenses by total revenue. For the last quarter, this ratio was approximately 51.6% ($59.68 million in expenses divided by $115.73 million in revenue). An efficiency ratio in the low 50s is considered excellent in the banking industry, suggesting lean operations. Furthermore, noninterest expenses remained flat compared to the prior quarter, while revenues grew significantly. This creates positive operating leverage, meaning profits can grow faster than revenues, which is exactly what occurred in the last quarter with net income growing over 22%.

  • Funding and Liquidity Profile

    Pass

    The bank has a strong base of low-cost deposits but operates with a high loan-to-deposit ratio, indicating a potential liquidity risk if deposit outflows were to accelerate.

    Byline's funding profile has both strengths and weaknesses. A significant strength is its deposit base, with noninterest-bearing deposits making up 24.7% of total deposits ($1.93 billion out of $7.83 billion). This provides a stable and inexpensive source of funding. However, the bank's loan-to-deposit ratio is high at 96.2%. This indicates that nearly all customer deposits are lent out, which maximizes profitability but leaves a slim liquidity cushion. While the bank holds cash and marketable securities, this high ratio means it has less flexibility to meet unexpected funding needs without potentially having to sell assets or seek more expensive wholesale funding. This aggressive lending posture is a key risk for investors to monitor.

  • Net Interest Margin Drivers

    Pass

    The bank demonstrates strong profitability through a growing net interest income and a robust estimated net interest margin, reflecting effective management of its lending and funding.

    Byline's core profitability driver, net interest income (NII), is showing a healthy upward trend, growing to $99.87 million in the latest quarter from $95.97 million previously. This consistent growth is a strong positive sign. While the official net interest margin (NIM) is not provided, an estimate based on annualized NII and average earning assets suggests a NIM in the range of 4.5%. A margin at this level would be considered very strong, indicating that the bank's focus on specialized lending allows it to achieve higher yields on its loans compared to its cost of funds. This ability to maintain a wide and growing spread is fundamental to the bank's financial success and its investment appeal.

  • Capital Adequacy Buffers

    Pass

    The bank appears well-capitalized with a solid tangible equity buffer and a conservative dividend policy, providing a strong foundation to absorb potential losses.

    Although specific regulatory capital ratios like CET1 are not provided, we can assess Byline's capital adequacy using its balance sheet. The bank's tangible common equity (TCE) to tangible assets ratio, a key measure of its loss-absorbing capacity, is approximately 10.8% as of the latest quarter. This is calculated from a tangible book value of $1,036 million and tangible assets of roughly $9.61 billion. A ratio above 8% is generally considered strong, so Byline's position indicates a healthy capital buffer. This strength is reinforced by its low dividend payout ratio of 14.28%, which allows the bank to retain the majority of its earnings to build capital and fund future growth. This conservative approach to capital management provides resilience against economic downturns and supports the bank's long-term stability.

How Has Byline Bancorp, Inc. Performed Historically?

4/5

Byline Bancorp has demonstrated strong growth over the past five years, significantly expanding its loan book and earnings. Revenue grew from $215.6M in 2020 to $379.9M in 2024, while EPS more than doubled from $0.96 to $2.78. The bank's key strength is its ability to grow net interest income and improve profitability, with Return on Equity increasing from 4.82% to 11.6% over the period. However, this growth has been accompanied by significant and consistent share dilution, with shares outstanding increasing by over 15%. The investor takeaway is mixed: the underlying business performance is strong, but shareholders have not been fully rewarded due to dilution, leading to lackluster total returns.

  • Shareholder Returns and Dilution

    Fail

    Despite strong dividend growth from a low base, persistent share issuance has diluted ownership and contributed to underwhelming total shareholder returns over the past few years.

    The company's approach to shareholder returns has been a tale of two opposing forces. On one hand, the dividend per share has tripled from $0.12 in 2020 to $0.36 in 2024, and the low payout ratio (around 13%) makes it appear very secure. On the other hand, diluted shares outstanding have steadily increased from 38M in 2020 to 44M in 2024, a roughly 16% increase that dilutes existing shareholders' stake. This dilution has been a drag on performance; total shareholder return has been negative in both 2023 (-6.35%) and 2024 (-7.17%). Because the significant share issuance has undermined the benefits of business growth for existing investors, this factor fails.

  • Returns and Margin Trend

    Pass

    Profitability has shown consistent and significant improvement, with key metrics like Return on Equity and Return on Assets climbing to healthy levels.

    Byline's returns have improved markedly over the past five years, indicating greater efficiency and profitability as it has scaled. Return on Equity (ROE) recovered from a low 4.82% in 2020 to a solid 11.6% in 2024. Similarly, Return on Assets (ROA) more than doubled from 0.63% to 1.31% over the same timeframe. These levels are respectable for the banking industry and demonstrate that the bank's growth has been profitable. This positive trend in returns suggests that management has been effective at deploying capital and managing operations to generate increasing value from its asset base.

  • Deposit Trend and Stability

    Pass

    The bank has achieved impressive deposit growth, but the quality of its deposit base has weakened as lower-cost noninterest-bearing deposits now make up a smaller portion of the total.

    Byline Bancorp has demonstrated a strong ability to attract deposits, with total deposits growing from $4.75B in 2020 to $7.46B in 2024, a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12%. This growth provided the necessary funding for the bank's loan expansion. However, the composition of these deposits has shifted unfavorably. Noninterest-bearing deposits, the cheapest source of funding for a bank, fell from 37% of total deposits in 2020 to just 23.5% in 2024. This trend suggests increased reliance on more expensive interest-bearing accounts, which can pressure net interest margins in a rising rate environment. While the loan-to-deposit ratio remains healthy at around 91%, the deteriorating deposit mix is a historical weakness to monitor.

  • 3–5 Year Growth Track

    Pass

    Byline has a strong track record of growth, with revenue and earnings per share expanding significantly over the last five years, driven by its core lending operations.

    The company's historical growth has been robust and consistent. Over the five years from 2020 to 2024, revenue grew at a compound annual rate of 15.2%, increasing from $215.6M to $379.9M. Net income growth was even more impressive, compounding at 33.9% annually over the same period. This translated into strong earnings per share (EPS) growth, which had a five-year CAGR of 30.4%, rising from $0.96 to $2.78. Although growth has moderated in the last three years, the multi-year trend clearly shows a successful expansion strategy that has consistently translated into higher revenue and profits.

  • Asset Quality History

    Pass

    The bank managed through the 2020 downturn by significantly increasing credit provisions and has since maintained an adequate loan loss allowance, suggesting prudent risk management.

    While direct metrics like nonperforming loans are not provided, we can assess asset quality using the provision for credit losses and the allowance for loan losses. The bank took a large provision of $56.7M in 2020, likely in response to the pandemic, which drove down earnings that year. Since then, provisions have normalized, running at $27M in 2024. The allowance for loan losses has grown from -$66.4M in 2020 to -$98M in 2024, largely in line with the growth of the gross loan portfolio from $4.36B to $6.99B. As a percentage of gross loans, the allowance has remained relatively stable, moving from 1.52% in 2020 to 1.40% in 2024. This indicates a consistent approach to reserving for potential losses as the bank expands, which is a sign of disciplined risk management.

What Are Byline Bancorp, Inc.'s Future Growth Prospects?

4/5

Byline Bancorp's future growth hinges on its specialized national lending platforms for SBA loans and equipment finance, which offer higher margins than traditional banking. These niches provide a clear path for expansion that many community bank peers lack. However, this growth is highly sensitive to the economic health of small businesses, and the bank faces stiff competition and funding constraints in its core Chicago market. The investor takeaway is mixed-to-positive; Byline is well-positioned to grow through its expert niches, but the journey will likely be tied to the broader economic cycle, presenting both opportunity and risk.

  • Cost Saves and Efficiency Plans

    Pass

    While Byline has not announced a major cost-cutting initiative, its scalable national lending platforms offer significant potential for operating leverage as revenues grow.

    Byline's path to greater efficiency lies in its business model rather than a specific cost-reduction program. The bank's efficiency ratio of 61.16% in Q1 2024 is adequate, but there is room for improvement. The key is the scalability of its SBA and equipment finance businesses. These national platforms are built on centralized expertise and technology, allowing them to process higher loan volumes without a proportional increase in operating expenses. As these high-margin businesses grow, they should drive revenue expansion that outpaces expense growth, naturally improving the efficiency ratio and creating positive operating leverage. This inherent scalability is a core component of its future earnings growth story.

  • Capital Capacity for Growth

    Pass

    Byline maintains robust capital ratios well above regulatory minimums, providing a strong foundation to support organic loan growth and potential strategic acquisitions.

    Byline's capital position is a clear strength for its growth ambitions. As of the first quarter of 2024, its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio stood at 11.53%, and its total risk-based capital ratio was 14.86%. Both figures are comfortably above the levels required to be considered "well-capitalized" by regulators. This ample capital buffer allows the bank to expand its balance sheet by adding risk-weighted assets (i.e., making more loans) in its high-growth niche areas without needing to raise dilutive external capital. This financial strength provides the flexibility to grow organically and consider opportunistic M&A to bolster its Chicago-area presence.

  • Management Guidance and Pipeline

    Pass

    Management consistently signals confidence in its niche-focused growth strategy, highlighting strong loan production and pipelines in its national SBA and equipment finance businesses.

    While Byline doesn't provide explicit numerical EPS or revenue guidance, its qualitative commentary in earnings calls points to a clear and consistent growth plan. Management regularly highlights the strong performance and robust pipelines of its national lending platforms. For example, in Q1 2024, the bank originated ~$154.5 million in SBA 7(a) loans, demonstrating the continued strength of that engine. This consistent messaging, backed by strong origination volumes in its key niches, signals management's confidence in its ability to execute its growth strategy, even amidst broader economic uncertainty.

  • Rate Sensitivity to Growth

    Pass

    Byline's asset-sensitive balance sheet positions it to benefit from stable or rising interest rates, though it faces a headwind to its net interest margin if rates were to fall sharply.

    Byline's loan portfolio, with its heavy concentration in commercial loans that often have variable interest rates, makes the bank asset-sensitive. This means that in a rising or stable rate environment, the yields on its assets tend to reprice upward faster than the costs of its deposits, leading to an expansion of its net interest margin (NIM) and higher net interest income (NII). While the bank has not disclosed a specific NII change for a +/- 100 bps rate shock recently, this structural positioning is generally favorable for profitability. However, this also represents a risk; if the Federal Reserve were to cut rates aggressively, the bank's NIM and earnings growth would likely face significant pressure as loan yields would decline quickly.

  • Funding Capacity to Scale

    Fail

    A high loan-to-deposit ratio and rising deposit costs represent a significant challenge, potentially constraining the bank's ability to fund its growth ambitions cheaply.

    Funding is a critical bottleneck for Byline's growth. The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio was high at 97% in the first quarter of 2024, indicating that nearly every dollar of deposits is already loaned out. This leaves little excess liquidity to fund new loans. To grow, Byline must attract new deposits in the highly competitive Chicago market or turn to more expensive wholesale funding sources, both of which could pressure its net interest margin. The total cost of deposits has already risen to 2.67%, reflecting the challenging funding environment. This tight liquidity position could throttle the growth of its otherwise promising national lending platforms.

Is Byline Bancorp, Inc. Fairly Valued?

4/5

Byline Bancorp, Inc. appears to be fairly valued with slight upside potential. The bank's valuation is supported by its superior profitability and strong Net Interest Margin from its specialized lending niche. However, this is offset by significant historical shareholder dilution and a valuation that is largely in line with its peers, offering no deep discount. Key metrics like its Price-to-Tangible Book ratio of 1.32 and P/E ratio of 10.5x are reasonable but not compelling. The investor takeaway is neutral to slightly positive; while the bank is a strong operator, the lack of a significant valuation discount may limit near-term upside.

  • Dividend and Buyback Yield

    Fail

    The company's solid dividend growth is completely undermined by a poor track record of share dilution, resulting in a weak total shareholder yield.

    Byline offers a forward dividend yield of approximately 1.38%, which is supported by a very conservative payout ratio of just 14% of its earnings. This indicates the dividend is safe and has ample room to grow. However, income and capital return must be viewed together. The prior analysis on past performance highlighted that the number of outstanding shares has increased by over 16% in the last two years. This shareholder dilution directly counteracts the value returned via dividends. A company that consistently issues new shares while paying a modest dividend is not effectively maximizing shareholder returns. Because the buyback yield has been negative (i.e., net issuance of shares), the total yield to shareholders is weak, warranting a "Fail" for this factor.

  • P/TBV vs ROE Test

    Pass

    Byline trades at a Price-to-Tangible Book value of 1.32x, a reasonable multiple for a bank that consistently generates a solid Return on Equity above 11%.

    For banks, the relationship between Price-to-Tangible Book (P/TBV) and Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) or Return on Equity (ROE) is a primary valuation test. A bank's ability to generate high returns on its equity should allow it to trade at a premium to its book value. Byline's ROE is a healthy 11.4%. Its P/TBV ratio is 1.32x. Generally, a bank with an ROE around 11-12% would be expected to trade between 1.2x and 1.5x tangible book value, placing Byline squarely in the fairly valued range. It is not cheap on this metric, but the price is justified by the profitability, thus earning a "Pass."

  • Yield Premium to Bonds

    Pass

    The stock's earnings yield of 9.5% offers a significant and attractive premium over the 10-Year Treasury yield, compensating investors for the additional risk.

    A key test for any income-oriented investment is its yield relative to a risk-free benchmark like the 10-Year Treasury bond. Byline's dividend yield of 1.38% is not compelling on its own compared to the 10-Year Treasury yield of 4.17%. However, the earnings yield (E/P ratio) is a much better measure of the company's underlying return potential. At 9.5% (the inverse of its 10.5x P/E ratio), Byline's earnings yield offers a premium of over 500 basis points (5 percentage points) above the 10-year Treasury. This is a substantial risk premium that suggests the stock is attractively priced for the level of profit it generates, justifying a "Pass" for this factor.

  • Valuation vs History and Sector

    Pass

    The stock currently trades in line with its own historical valuation multiples and its sector peers, suggesting it is fairly priced by the market.

    Byline's current TTM P/E ratio of 10.5x is slightly above its 5-year average of 9.8x. Its Price-to-Tangible Book ratio of 1.32 is almost identical to its 10-year median of 1.33. This indicates the stock is not undervalued relative to its own history. When compared to the sector, its P/E is slightly below the peer median of 12.5x, while its P/TBV is in line with the peer median of 1.36x. This cross-check confirms that the current valuation is consistent with both its historical norms and its standing among competitors. It doesn't signal a bargain, but it also doesn't flash signs of being overvalued, thereby meriting a "Pass."

  • P/E and PEG Check

    Pass

    The stock's P/E ratio of around 10.5x is reasonable when compared to its forward EPS growth forecast of 3-4%, though it does not signal a deep bargain.

    Byline Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 10.57x and a forward P/E ratio of 10.18x. The "Future Growth" analysis projects near-term EPS growth in the 3-4% range. This results in a PEG ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) well above 2.0x, which is typically not considered cheap. However, for a stable, high-profitability bank, a direct comparison to a high-growth company is not always appropriate. The P/E ratio is slightly below the peer median of 12.5x and is supported by a strong profit margin of 31.4%. The valuation is not demanding for a company with a proven ability to generate high returns in its niche, so it merits a "Pass," albeit not a strong one.

Detailed Future Risks

The primary risk facing Byline Bancorp is its sensitivity to the macroeconomic environment, particularly through its loan portfolio. The bank's focus on small to medium-sized businesses and commercial real estate (CRE) means a potential economic slowdown could significantly impact credit quality. Small businesses are often the first to suffer during recessions, leading to a higher risk of loan defaults. More critically, the CRE market, especially office and retail properties, faces structural headwinds from remote work and e-commerce. As these loans come up for refinancing in the coming years at potentially higher interest rates, borrowers will face significant stress, which could lead to a material increase in non-performing assets on Byline's balance sheet.

Byline also faces persistent pressure on its core profitability metric, the Net Interest Margin (NIM), which is the spread between what it earns on loans and pays for deposits. In the current high-rate environment, competition for customer deposits is intense, forcing Byline to offer higher rates to retain and attract funds. This rise in funding costs has compressed its NIM. Even if the Federal Reserve begins to lower rates, fierce competition in the Chicago market from larger national banks and local credit unions could keep deposit costs elevated, limiting the potential for margin expansion and capping earnings growth potential.

While Byline's position as a top Small Business Administration (SBA) lender is a key strength, this specialization also creates a concentrated risk. A significant portion of its noninterest income is derived from gains on the sale of these government-guaranteed loans. This revenue stream is highly dependent on the stability of SBA programs, which can be subject to political and legislative changes. Any future alterations to loan guarantee percentages, fee structures, or program funding by Congress could directly and negatively impact Byline's profitability. A slowdown in small business formation or expansion would also naturally reduce demand for these loans, hurting origination volumes and a key source of the bank's earnings.

Finally, the bank's geographic concentration in the Chicago metropolitan area presents another layer of risk. Unlike larger, more diversified banks, Byline's fortunes are closely tied to the economic health of a single region. A localized recession or a downturn in the Chicagoland real estate market would impact its loan portfolio more severely than a geographically dispersed competitor. The bank has also historically used acquisitions to fuel growth. While this strategy can be effective, it carries integration risk and depends on finding suitable targets at attractive valuations, which may become more challenging in the future.

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Current Price
29.54
52 Week Range
22.63 - 31.24
Market Cap
1.36B
EPS (Diluted TTM)
2.80
P/E Ratio
10.60
Forward P/E
10.20
Avg Volume (3M)
N/A
Day Volume
166,182
Total Revenue (TTM)
400.66M
Net Income (TTM)
125.85M
Annual Dividend
--
Dividend Yield
--